myopia, naivete, or there ain't enough chairs

Many people at LANL and probably at other national labs seem to have the following view of the world.

'Well, if my job at LANL disappears, I will go to Livermore or a major university or an important company because I am of great value."

or

"If my job at LANL disapppears, I will hide in my house and spend very little because I am of no value to any other organization."

Both of these views appear to be naive. The first one is naive because there are not enough jobs available to meet the number of people looking (not enough chairs).

The second one is naive because each person who is laid off is of high value if they present themselves well.

Where I have written LANL, it also seems appropriate to write Livermore or some other places,